劳动与健康经济学workshop:China's 40 Years Demographic Dividend and Labor Supply: The Quantity Myth

发布日期:2023-05-19 12:00    来源:

时间:2023年5月19日(周五)10:00-11:30

地点:北京大学国家发展研究院承泽园院区 245教室

主持人:张丹丹、黄炜

参与老师:赵耀辉、李玲、刘国恩、雷晓燕、易君健

主讲人:Xin Meng   Australian National University

摘要:In the past forty years the Chinese economy achieved miracle growth and many attributed a significant part of this to China's favourable labour supply flowing from the “demographic dividend”: a larger share of working age population (WAPS). Currently, this dividend is slipping away and many in China are very concerned. Against this background I set out to examine the contributions of various dimensions of China's changing WAPS and its impact on economic growth. I show that between 1982-2015 the increase in the WAPS was offset by a decline in the labour force participation rate, resulting in a very limited increase in the quantity of labour supply. I then estimate the association between regional variations in economic growth and changes in factors such as population size, WAPS, migration, education. The results lend little support to the view that increasing WAPS played a major role in China's economic growth over this period.

 

主讲人简介:Prof. Xin Meng currently works at the Research School of Economics, College of Business and Economics, Australian National University. She is also a Fellow of Australian Academy of Social Sciences. Her main research interest lies in China's labour market, poverty. Income   inequality. Human capital development, the economic implications of rural-urban migration, and the influence of institutions and culture on human behavior and on gender discrimination. Prof. Meng has published papers in many top journals such as Science, Review of Economic Studies, Economic Journal, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Journal of Labour Economics, Journal of Development Economics, Journal of Public Economics. Her book Labour Market Reform in China was published by Cambridge University Press in 2000.

 


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