[3月8日]劳动经济学workshop

发布日期:2019-03-08 11:58    来源:

  Social Norms and Fertility

  时间: 2019年3月8日(周五)13:30 – 15:00

  地点: 北大国发院致福轩会议室

  主持人: 赵耀辉、雷晓燕、张丹丹、秦雪征、王耀璟、袁野

  报告人: 易君健

  摘要:We document three stylized facts about marriage and fertility in East Asian societies: They have the highest marriage rates in the world, but the lowest total fertility; they have the lowest total fertility, but almost all married women have at least one child. By contrast, almost no single women have any children. As these societies have been influenced by Confucianism, it is conventional wisdom that marriage and fertility decisions are related to two social norms: the unequal gender division of childcare and the stigma attached to out-of-wedlock births. To quantitatively investigate their roles in accounting for these facts, we incorporate the two social norms into Baudin et al. (2015)’s model and structurally estimate it using the data from South Korea censuses. We find that, on the one hand, the social norm of unequal gender division of childcare significantly contributes to the low fertility, especially for highly educated women; on the other hand, the social stigma has negligible effects on marriage and fertility. Pro-natal policies can increase average fertility, but they are not effective in mitigating the effect of the norm of unequal gender division of childcare, because they cannot sufficiently boost fertility for the highly educated. Our results show that the tension between the persistent gender ideology and rapid socioeconomic development is the main driving force behind the unique marriage and fertility patterns of East Asian societies.

  报告人简介:易君健,男,1978年出生于湖南省湘乡市。2011年获得香港中文大学博士学位。2011年至2014年赴美国芝加哥大学经济系从事博士后研究,师从James Heckman(2000年诺贝尔经济学奖得主)和Gary Becker(1992年诺贝尔经济学奖得主)。2014年至今担任新加坡国立大学经济系助理教授。目前的研究兴趣主要集中于医疗与健康经济学、医疗与健康大数据分析、人力资本理论、劳动和人口经济学、发展经济学、计量经济学和行为经济学,先后在经济学、管理学与人口学等领域内的国际顶级学术期刊发表科研论文,包括Demography, Management Science, Review of Economics and Statistics, Economic Journal, International Economic Review, Journal of Labor Economics。