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sidenav header background[11月16日]发展经济学workshop
发布日期：2016-11-11 05:12 来源：北京大学国家发展研究院
时间：2016年11月16日2:00-3:30
地点：国家发展研究院万众楼一楼小教室
主讲人：Tuan-Hwee Sng National University of Singapore
Title: The Effect of State Capacity under Different Economic Systems
Abstract：We empirically examine the effect of state capacity on economic development (1) when market and incentive mechanisms are suppressed and (2) when they are restored. In 1978, China began its transition from a command economy to a market economy. Focusing on the rural Sichuan province, we investigate if state capacity—proxied by the number of local communist party members—mattered to developmental outcomes in 1957–78 (Maoist period) and in 1978–85 (reform period). To tease out causal effects, we use the Long March, a military retreat undertaken by the Red Army in 1934–35, as an instrument. We find that counties with more communist members recorded faster output growth and lower mortality rates after 1978, but not before that. In fact, party membership numbers were positively associated with mortality rate during the Maoist period. These findings suggest that state capacity could indeed accelerate development, but the effect is substantial and unambiguous only when the state seeks to complement the market instead of substituting it.
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首页
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教学项目展开 / 收起
sidenav background教学项目
sidenav header background[11月16日]发展经济学workshop
发布日期：2016-11-11 05:12 来源：北京大学国家发展研究院
时间：2016年11月16日2:00-3:30
地点：国家发展研究院万众楼一楼小教室
主讲人：Tuan-Hwee Sng National University of Singapore
Title: The Effect of State Capacity under Different Economic Systems
Abstract：We empirically examine the effect of state capacity on economic development (1) when market and incentive mechanisms are suppressed and (2) when they are restored. In 1978, China began its transition from a command economy to a market economy. Focusing on the rural Sichuan province, we investigate if state capacity—proxied by the number of local communist party members—mattered to developmental outcomes in 1957–78 (Maoist period) and in 1978–85 (reform period). To tease out causal effects, we use the Long March, a military retreat undertaken by the Red Army in 1934–35, as an instrument. We find that counties with more communist members recorded faster output growth and lower mortality rates after 1978, but not before that. In fact, party membership numbers were positively associated with mortality rate during the Maoist period. These findings suggest that state capacity could indeed accelerate development, but the effect is substantial and unambiguous only when the state seeks to complement the market instead of substituting it.
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