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sidenav header background[10月17日]卫生workshop
发布日期:2016-10-13 04:50 来源:北京大学国家发展研究院
时间:2016年10月17日下午13:00-15:00
地点: 国发院万众楼小教室
主持人:刘国恩
主讲人:唐黎阳 (清华大学)
Topic : The Influence of Climate Change on Saving Behavior and Consuming Behavior
Abstract:
On the basis of the rare scenario provided by the Copenhagen World Climate Conference, this paper finds the influence of climate change on saving behavior and consuming behavior from empirical results. This paper converts the theoretical proposition of “climate change certainly causes the distortion of saving behavior and consuming behavior” to the hypothesis of Copenhagen World Climate Conference Scenario which can be verified by existing data, and adopts the difference-in-difference empirical strategy, the instrumental variable method, the pre-trend testing, the robustness testing of the financial crisis hypothesis, the robustness testing of the emission reduction responsibility hypothesis, and the long-term trend testing to comprehensively study that whether the testing results of the hypothesis of Copenhagen World Climate Conference Scenario can support “climate change certainly causes the distortion of saving behavior and consuming behavior”. In order to help researchers and policy makers realize that the influence of climate change on saving behavior and consuming behavior is the key bottleneck for problem solving of climate deterioration, and mitigating the influence of climate change on saving behavior and consuming behavior can largely slow the deterioration of future global climate, this paper systemetically explains the distortion of intra-generational and inter-generational economic behavior caused by climate change through building and solving an overlapping generations model of climate change: the distortion of intra-generational economic behavior means that climate change causes representative agents to decrease savings and increase consumption when young, decrease consumption when old, and increase greenhouse gas emissions; the distortion of inter-generational economic behavior means that climate deterioration caused by the present generation causes the next generation to decrease savings and increase consumption when young, decrease consumption when old, and increase greenhouse gas emissions, the unreasonable consumption and savings decisions and climate deterioration continue among generations.
Speaker:
唐黎阳,江苏常州人,清华大学经济管理学院经济学博士,师从白重恩教授,研究方向为体制改革和机制设计,重点关注中国医改的体制机制问题,现任北京大学新结构经济学研究中心博士后研究员。目前已发表或录用的文章被SSCI收录6篇(其中4篇同时被SCI收录),期刊论文、会议论文、项目论文累计达18篇。研究生期间,曾在国务院国有资产监督管理委员会、财政部、工业和信息化部、国务院发展研究中心、国家发展和改革委员会宏观经济研究院、清华大学五道口金融学院(原中国人民银行研究生部)、北京大学政府管理学院、北京市深化医药卫生体制改革领导小组办公室、卫生部合理用药专家委员会、阿里云、阿里巴巴丘成桐数理经济研究院等机构实习或开展研究项目。曾获清华大学博士生最高学术荣誉“学术新秀”、大众奖学金、清华之友-苏州工业园区奖学金、清华之友-陈江和育鹰奖学金、中国平安励志计划论文奖等奖励和荣誉。
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