劳动与健康经济学workshop

Migration and Crime: Evidence from a Hukou Reform in China

时间：2024年10月25日（周五）16:30-18:00

地点：北大国发院承泽园245教室

主持人：张丹丹、黄炜

参与老师：雷晓燕、李玲、刘国恩、易君健

主讲人：施新政，北京大学经济学院

摘要：To explore the impact of internal migration on crime, we analyze the effect of China’s 2014 Hukou reform on crime rates. Our findings reveal that the policy significantly increased crime rates in the affected areas. Moreover, the magnitude of this increase was more pronounced in prefectures where the relaxation of migration restrictions was more thorough.  We discovered that the policy led to an increase in both property crimes and violent crimes. We also find that the crimes induced by the policy are primarily those with shorter sentences, committed mostly by first-time offenders, and often carried out individually. Interestingly, it was primarily local residents who contributed to the rise in the crime rate, while the policy did not result in an increase in crime among migrants. The negative impact of the policy on local governments’ public welfare spending and local residents’ overall experience serves as an important channel leading to the increase in crime rates.

主讲人简介：施新政，北京大学经济学院教授，研究领域为劳动经济学和发展经济学，入选国家级青年人才项目，目前担任Economic Development and Cultural Change和《经济学报》副主编。在Review of Economics and Statistics, Journal of Development Economics, 《经济研究》，《经济学季刊》，《管理世界》等期刊发表论文50余篇。主持多项国家级项目。