环境与能源经济学讲座:Weathering the Compliance Drought: Impact of Climate Change on Citizen-State Conflict in Africa

发布日期:2024-05-24 12:00    来源:

主讲人:Lin Yang(Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou))

时间:2024年5月24日(周五)上午10:00-12:00(北京时间)

地点:北京大学承泽园245教室

摘要:This study explores the impact of climate change on citizen compliance and citizen-state conflicts in Africa. By analyzing geocoded public opinion surveys from 38 African countries spanning from 2011 to 2018, alongside fine-scale remote sensing data, we investigate the effects of weather extremes on citizens' resistance to fulfilling tax and fee obligations. Our findings indicate that weather extremes increase the likelihood of noncompliance behavior, particularly affecting vulnerable communities, such as those in rural areas, facing precarious job situations, and possessing lower levels of education. We identify two mechanisms through which climate change influences citizen compliance: firstly, by fostering a pessimistic economic prospect among citizens, leading them to anticipate future financial strains, and secondly, by exacerbating dissatisfaction with public officials' performance, leading them to withdraw financial support to the government. Furthermore, we observe significant mitigating effects of climate adaptation measures, such as piped water, in-house water sources, dams, and renewable energy transition. The paper also provides back-of-the-envelope estimations of the potential revenue losses that African countries may face due to climate-induced noncompliance, highlighting the economic consequences of climate change in developing countries.

主讲人简介:

Lin Yang is an Assistant Professor of Urban Governance and Design at the Society Hub of Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou). She received her Ph.D. in Applied Economics from Cornell University in May 2021. Her research focuses on environmental and urban challenges in China using high-resolution and high-frequency data. Her research has published in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Annual Review of Resource Economics, Social Science and Medicine and so on.


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