国发院/经院发展与公共财政系列讲座：

The Millennium Droughts and Australian Agricultural Productivity Performance: A Nonparametric Analysis

时间：2019年12月11日（周三）14：00-15：30

地点：北大国发院致福轩会议室

主持人：郝煜、李力行、刘冲、席天扬、张晓波

主讲人：Robert G. Chambers

题目：The Millennium Droughts and Australian Agricultural Productivity Performance: A Nonparametric Analysis

摘要：With the turn of the century, Australian agricultural productivity growth slowed dramatically. We investigate the connection between this slowdown and climatic factors by comparing regional-level growth patterns before and after the advent of the Australian Millennium Droughts. The analysis incorporates climatic variates directly into the productivity accounting framework to reflect the stochastic nature of agricultural production, and measured productivity growth is decomposed into four components: technological change, weather-related change, input-scale adjustments, and diffusion (adaptation). Non-parametric productivity measurement and statistical techniques are used to quantify and examine the patterns of the observed productivity slowdown. The analysis suggests that the primary determinant of the slowdown is not a slowdown in technological innovation but climatic-related changes in the pattern and rate of diffusion of technological advances.

主讲人简介：

Robert G. Chambers

Professor

Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics

University of Maryland

Honorary Professor

School of Economics

University of Queensland

Major Research Interests

Agricultural Economics, Decision making under Uncertainty,

Production Economics, Microeconomic Theory, Public Economics,

Agricultural and Natural Resources Policy