刘易斯转折点研讨会
DEBATING THE LEWIS TURNING POINT IN CHINA

An International Workshop

Jointly Organized by
Institute of Population and Labor Economics (CASS)
and China Center for Economic Research (PKU)
中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所
北京大学国家发展研究院中国经济研究中心

Sponsored by
Australian National University &
Melbourne University
澳大利亚国立大学与墨尔本大学协办

April 6, 2010, Fragrant Hill Hotel, Beijing
2010年4月6日，北京香山饭店二层溢香厅

 

8:45-9:00: Registration

9:00-9:20: Opening Remarks and Background

• Fang Cai (CASS)

• Ross Garnaut (Melbourne)

• Ho-mou Wu (PKU)

9:20-10:10: Chair Yiping Huang (PKU)

• Population transition, population dividends and the Lewis turning point
Fang Cai (CASS)

• Discussant: Xiaoyan Lei (PKU)

10:10-10:20 Tea break

10:20-11:10 Chair Yang Du (PKU)

• Macroeconomic impacts of the Lewis turning point in China
Ross Garnaut (Melbourne)

• Discussant: Lu Feng (PKU)

11:10-12:00

• Has China crossed the Lewis turning point? Evidence from provincial data
Yang Yao and Ke Zhang (presented by Kunyu Tao)

• Discussant: Yue Qu (CASS)

13:00-13:50 Chair Feng Lu (PKU)

• The rise of labor cost and fall of labor input: Evidence from agricultural cost survey
Meiyan Wang

• Discussant: Yan Shen (PKU)

13:50-14:40

• Implications of migration for income inequality: Discussion on possible bias in existing estimates
Yang Du and Meiyan Wang (CASS)

• Discussant: Lixing Li (PKU)

14:40-14:50 Tea Break

14:50-15:40 Chair Fang Cai (CASS)

• Will Chinese growth slow after the Lewis turning point?
Ligang Song (ANU) and Yongsheng Zhang (DRC)

• Discussant: Miaojie Yu (PKU) 

 15:40-16:30

• Economy-wide implications of labor shortage for China: A computable general equilibrium analysis
Yiping Huang (PKU) and Tingsong Jiang (CIE)

• Discussant: Yaowu Wu (CASS)

16:30-17:00 Fang Cai, Ross Garnaut, Ligang Song and Yiping Huang

• Summary, plans for publication and future directions of research

 

 

 

Note: Maximum of 15 minutes for paper presenter and 10 minutes for discussant

Background papers: Ryoshin Minami, “Turning point in the Japanese Economy”